623 players, 6,230 guesses, and one number that anchors the week: 32%. That's all
Clive Davis got — 68% of players called the 1960s–2010s music executive deceased. He's alive. Hardest miss of the week by a margin, and it landed on a 515-player sample, so there's no hiding behind a small n.
The wager picture was interesting independent of any single celebrity. 3x bets made up 31% of all wagers and hit 72% accuracy, well clear of 1x play at 64%. The bold-and-right rate was 34% — meaning roughly a third of all 3x guesses were both confident and correct. Eighteen perfect rounds out of 623 players. Top score hit 3,350.
By the Numbers
- Total guesses
- 6,230
- Average accuracy
- 66%
- Hardest celebrity
Clive Davis (32%)- Easiest celebrity
John Lennon (93%)- Biggest upset
Clive Davis - Players this week
- 623
- Perfect rounds
- 18
- Wager mix
- 1× 64% · 2× 5% · 3× 31%
What stood out
Aaron Swartz split 515 players exactly down the middle — 50% alive, 50% deceased. He's deceased, so half the field landed right, but a 50/50 split on that sample size is a genuine coin flip.
George Michael was close behind at 53% accuracy, with 47% of players calling him alive. He's deceased.
How 515 players guessed Aaron Swartz
Billie Jean King was the week's quietest trap on a large sample: 61% of players called her deceased on 515 guesses. She's alive. 39% accuracy.
Jack Nicklaus ran into the same wall — 67% dead calls, also alive, 33% correct.
On the easy end,
John Lennon ran at 93% on 515 guesses. The reliable gimme.
Mick Jagger,
Adam Sandler, and
Tom Cruise all cleared 100% on smaller samples — no misses at all.
Featured: Clive Davis

He's been credited with launching the careers of over 100 artists and has won five Grammy Awards as a producer, despite being partially deaf in one ear.
32% accuracy on 515 guesses.
Clive Davis was the hardest celebrity of the week and it wasn't close. The business category from the 1960s–2010s tends to run hard, and this one delivered. What's notable is the wager breakdown: a bold-wagering week means a meaningful chunk of those 68% wrong answers came attached to 3x multipliers. Players who went confident in the wrong direction here paid for it. The field's overall 66% accuracy looks reasonable until you see this sitting underneath it.
Honorable mentions
Toby Keith at 30% accuracy — 70% of players called the 1990s–2020s musician alive. He's deceased. Second-hardest miss, small sample.
Brittany Murphy at 40% — 60% called her alive. She's deceased. The 1990s–2000s actor ran on 15 players, but the direction was wrong.
Dionne Warwick at 39% on 18 guesses — 61% called her deceased. She's alive. The 1960s–1970s musician keeps catching people.
Joni Mitchell at 56% — the field nearly split on her too. Alive, and barely more than half got it right.