22,230 guesses, 2,223 players, and a wager column that tells most of the story: 54% of all bets went 3x, the highest bold rate in recent memory. Accuracy on those 3x wagers came in at 81%, and the bold-and-right rate hit 58%. On aggregate, going big paid off. Then you run into Franco Harris and all of that falls apart.

By the Numbers

Total guesses: 22,230
Average accuracy: 75%
Hardest celebrity: Franco Harris (13%)
Easiest celebrity: Michael Jackson (99%)
Biggest upset: Franco Harris
Players this week: 2,223
Perfect rounds: 134
Wager mix: 1× 42% · 2× 4% · 3× 54%

What stood out

Nolan Ryan split the field exactly 50–50 — 50% alive, 50% deceased, on 243 guesses. He's alive. Coin-flip territory, and the closest call of the week by a wide margin. Right behind him: Clive James at 51% accuracy and Gilda Radner at 51%, both deceased, both nearly even. Diane Keaton and Brittany Murphy — both deceased — came in at 48%, meaning the majority of players called them alive. Five celebrities within three percentage points of the midline is a lot of instability concentrated in one week.

How 243 players guessed Nolan Ryan

Alive

50%

Dead

50%

On the other end, Michael Jackson ran at 99% — the gimme, no surprises. Jeff Bezos and Leonardo DiCaprio weren't far behind. 134 perfect rounds out of 2,223 players; roughly 1 in 17.

Featured: Franco Harris

Portrait of Franco Harris — athlete
Franco Harris
1970s · Americandeceased
He made the famous 'Immaculate Reception,' considered one of the greatest plays in NFL history, catching a deflected pass just inches from the ground.

Eighty-seven percent of players called Franco Harris alive. He's deceased. That's 13% accuracy on 333 guesses — worst on the board and the week's biggest upset by a distance. In a week where more than half of all wagers went 3x, the wrong-direction confidence on a figure like Harris almost certainly dragged scores down hard. The 1970s athlete ran on a solid sample and the miss was consistent. There's no wager tier that bailed you out here.

How 333 players guessed Franco Harris

Alive

87%

Dead

13%

Honorable mentions

Maureen Tucker at 33% accuracy — 67% of players called the 1960s–1970s musician deceased. She's alive.
Taj Mahal at 24% — 76% called him deceased. He's alive. Two alive-direction traps that cost the field.
Michael Crichton at 19% — 81% of players called the 1990s–2000s author alive. He's deceased. The direction flipped but the damage was similar.
Buddy Guy at 40% — 60% called him deceased. He's alive. A quieter miss, but on 243 guesses it added up.