Am I Dead?
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77% Called Her Alive. The Week's Hardest Miss Was Also Its Most Confident.

Week of 6/8/2026

20,330 guesses, 2,033 players, and the field leaned hard toward confidence: 51% of all wagers went 3x, accuracy on those bets hit 80%, and the bold-and-right rate came in at 55%. On paper, a decent week to play aggressive. Then Portrait of Catherine O'HaraCatherine O'Hara showed up and collected.

By the Numbers

Total guesses
20,330
Average accuracy
75%
Hardest celebrity
Portrait of Catherine O'HaraCatherine O'Hara (23%)
Easiest celebrity
Portrait of Taylor SwiftTaylor Swift (99%)
Biggest upset
Portrait of Catherine O'HaraCatherine O'Hara
Players this week
2,033
Perfect rounds
125
Wager mix
1× 44% · 2× 5% · 3× 51%

What stood out

Portrait of John HurtJohn Hurt landed at 49% accuracy — 51% of players called him alive, 49% deceased, on 247 guesses. He's deceased. Closest split of the week, effectively a coin flip. Right behind him: Portrait of Michael HutchenceMichael Hutchence at 52% and Portrait of David SedarisDavid Sedaris at 53%. When three celebrities cluster within four points of the midline, the middle of the board is doing real damage regardless of how the headliners go.

Portrait of John HurtHow 247 players guessed John Hurt
Alive
51%
Dead
49%

Portrait of Val KilmerVal Kilmer also ran wrong-direction: 57% of players called him alive. He's deceased. 43% accuracy on 279 guesses. A quieter miss than O'Hara's, but not a cheap one in a 3x-heavy week.

125 perfect rounds out of 2,033 players — roughly 1 in 16. Portrait of Taylor SwiftTaylor Swift was the gimme at 99%. Portrait of Salvador DalíSalvador Dalí was close behind. Bonus exact-year hits came in at 649, which is high; players who knew the territory knew it well.

Portrait of Catherine O'Hara
actor
Catherine O'Hara
1970s–present · Canadiandeceased

She improvised most of her iconic phone conversation scenes in Home Alone, including the famous pizza ordering scene, because the script just said 'Kevin's mom calls to check on the house.'

Seventy-seven percent of players called Portrait of Catherine O'HaraCatherine O'Hara alive. She's deceased. That's 23% accuracy on 299 guesses — worst on the board and the week's biggest upset by a distance. In a week where half of all wagers went 3x, a wrong-direction call at this scale hit hard. The actor ran across a solid sample and the error held regardless of wager tier. There was no safe exit here.

Portrait of Catherine O'HaraHow 299 players guessed Catherine O'Hara
Alive
77%
Dead
23%

Honorable mentions

  • Portrait of Kate BushKate Bush at 30% accuracy — 70% of players called the 1970s–2010s musician deceased. She's alive. A clean wrong-direction miss.
  • Portrait of Sugar Ray LeonardSugar Ray Leonard at 31% — 69% called the athlete deceased. He's alive. Two alive-direction traps in the same week added up.
  • Portrait of Bernard ArnaultBernard Arnault at 40% — 60% of players called him deceased. He's alive. Quieter than the others, but on 310 guesses it still cost the field.
  • Portrait of Natalie WoodNatalie Wood at 35% and Portrait of David Foster WallaceDavid Foster Wallace at 32% both ran wrong-direction on the deceased side, each fooling roughly two-thirds of players. A full week of traps in both directions.