39,770 guesses, 3,977 players, and one result that dominated everything else. The wager split was aggressive: 43% of guesses went 3x, and it paid — players who went bold hit 81% accuracy versus 69% on 1x. The bold-and-right rate landed at 47%. Aggressive week, mostly justified.
By the Numbers
- Total guesses
- 39,770
- Average accuracy
- 74%
- Hardest celebrity
Joe Frazier (19%)- Easiest celebrity
Serena Williams (99%)- Biggest upset
- Joe Frazier
- Players this week
- 3,977
- Perfect rounds
- 263
- Wager mix
- 1× 51% · 2× 6% · 3× 43%
What stood out
Three celebrities landed at exactly 50/50 this week, which is unusual. 
Philip Glass (alive), 
Noam Chomsky (alive), and 
Francis Ford Coppola (alive) each split the field dead even. All three are alive; all three fooled half the players who saw them. Pick any one of those and you'd have a coin flip.
How 701 players guessed Noam Chomsky
Billie Jean King was the quiet upset on the other side — 69% of players called her deceased. She's alive. Only 31% got it right. That's the kind of miss that doesn't announce itself, buried in a week with a louder headline.
James Earl Jones had a similar problem in reverse: 63% of players called him alive. He's deceased. Both were among the week's sharpest wrong-direction calls.
Featured: Joe Frazier
He was legally blind in his left eye from childhood but hid it throughout his entire boxing career, even from his own trainer, and still became heavyweight champion.
The number is 19%. That's how many players correctly identified Joe Frazier as deceased — the worst accuracy on the board, and the week's biggest upset by a margin that isn't close. 81% of the field left him alive. The wager data made it worse: a meaningful share of those wrong guesses went 3x. The 1960s–1970s athlete ran on 360 guesses, a smaller sample than most, but the result was unambiguous in every direction.
How 360 players guessed Joe FrazierHonorable mentions
Terry Pratchett at 38% accuracy — 62% of players called the author alive. Deceased. Second-hardest miss of the week.
Christopher Hitchens at 31% accuracy — 69% guessed alive. Deceased. Fits the same pattern: authors and public intellectuals from the 1980s–2010s are a consistent trap.- Serena Williams at 99% — the gimme. The 1% who missed are invited to reconsider their relationship with professional tennis.
- 263 perfect rounds out of 3,977 players. Roughly 1 in 15, which is strong for a week with a 19% headliner at the top.
Bill Russell at 43% accuracy — more than half the field called him alive. Deceased.