36,210 guesses, 3,621 players, and a week that punished confidence in all the wrong places. The 3x wager rate was nearly even with 1x—47% vs. 48%—and players who went bold actually outperformed the cautious: 78% accuracy on 3x bets versus 65% on 1x. The bold-and-right rate sat at 51%, which sounds fine until you see where the wrong guesses clustered.
By the Numbers
- Total guesses
- 36,210
- Average accuracy
- 71%
- Hardest celebrity
Shannen Doherty (22%)- Easiest celebrity
Will Smith (99%)- Biggest upset
Jeff Koons - Players this week
- 3,621
- Perfect rounds
- 165
- Wager mix
- 1× 48% · 2× 6% · 3× 47%
What stood out
Sinead O'Connor landed at exactly 50–50. Half the field called her alive, half called her deceased—and deceased is correct. That's the closest split of the week, a genuine coin flip across 574 guesses.
How 574 players guessed Sinead O'ConnorJeff Koons was the biggest upset. Only 24% of players correctly identified him as alive; 76% called him deceased. For a contemporary artist who's been working through the 2000s, that's a rough miss. The field was confident in the wrong direction.
How 574 players guessed Jeff Koons
David Attenborough also ran into trouble on the alive side: 54% of players called him deceased. He's alive. 
Smokey Robinson had the same problem in reverse—62% of players called him deceased. Also alive.
Featured: Shannen Doherty
She was fired from Beverly Hills 90210 partly because she showed up late to work after partying, including missing a Christmas episode taping.
The hardest miss of the week, and it wasn't close. 78% of players guessed Shannen Doherty alive. She's deceased. That's a 22% accuracy rate on 565 guesses—worst on the board by a wide margin. The default suggested her as the featured celebrity, and the data backs it up completely. Whatever players thought they knew about the 1990s–2000s actress, most of them were wrong. What's even more interesting is that this is the second time Shannen has appeared in a puzzle in 30 days and the results were about the same. We will give the players a break and not feature her for a while.
Honorable mentions
Diane Keaton at 26% accuracy—74% of players called her alive. She's deceased. Second-biggest miss of the week.- Will Smith at 99%—the gimme. The 1% who missed should log off and think about what they've done.
Pete Rose split 47–53, with deceased being correct. The second-closest call of the week, and nearly as uncertain as O'Connor.
Eric Dane fooled 65% of players into calling him alive. He's deceased. 35% accuracy.- 165 perfect rounds out of 3,621 players. That's about 1 in 22—a little above average for a week this difficult at the top.
Five of the week's hardest celebrities skewed toward actors and musicians active in the 1980s and 1990s. The field handles deep history and current faces reasonably well. That middle stretch remains the trap.