87% of Players Had Franco Harris Wrong. The Wagers Made It Worse.

1,934 players, 126 perfect rounds, and a wager mix that went almost exactly even: 48% at 1x, 48% at 3x, with 2x barely in the picture. Players who went bold had a good week in aggregate — 3x accuracy hit 79% against 68% on 1x — but the bold-and-right rate settled at 51%. Comfortable, not dominant. And then Franco Harris swallowed most of the gains.

By the Numbers

Total guesses

19,340

Average accuracy

74%

Hardest celebrity

Franco Harris (13%)

Easiest celebrity

Taylor Swift (99%)

Biggest upset

Franco Harris

Players this week

1,934

Perfect rounds

126

Wager mix

1× 48% · 2× 5% · 3× 48%

What stood out

The top of the split chart was unusually crowded this week. Thomas Pynchon landed at 52–48 in favor of alive on 308 guesses — he's alive, so the field squeaked by. Vivienne Westwood split almost identically: 52% deceased, 48% alive on 206 guesses. She's deceased. Same coin-flip result, opposite direction of error for the losing half.

Liza Minnelli was the cleaner wrong-direction miss in the middle range: 56% of players called her deceased on 286 guesses. She's alive. 44% accuracy. John Coltrane went the same way — 60% alive calls on 308 guesses, 40% accuracy. He's deceased. Jazz musicians from the 1950s–60s ran cold all week. So did 1960s–70s athletes: Joe Frazier drew 67% alive calls on 286 guesses and 33% accuracy. He's deceased. Jack Nicklaus pulled a nearly identical result in the other direction — 66% called him deceased, 34% accuracy. He's alive.

Bonus exact-year hits: 535. Top score: 3,575.

Featured: Franco Harris

87% of the field called Franco Harris alive. He's deceased. That's 13% accuracy on 308 guesses — worst on the board by a significant margin and the week's biggest upset. In a week where nearly half of all wagers went 3x, players who bet bold on this one absorbed the full penalty. The 1970s athlete category had a rough week overall, but nothing came close to this result. Third-worst after Harris was Joe Frazier at 33%, which tells you how far Harris fell off the bottom of the chart.

Honorable mentions

• Joe Frazier at 33% — 67% of players called the 1960s–70s boxer alive. He's deceased. Second-hardest miss, and part of a broader pattern: athletes from that era ran wrong all week.
• Catherine O'Hara at 35% — 65% of players called her alive on 206 guesses. She's deceased. Smaller sample, but a decisive wrong-direction call.
• Taylor Swift at 99% — the gimme end of the spectrum. 301 guesses, almost zero dissent. She's alive. The board needed the ballast.