Am I Dead?
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Week of 8/31/2026

90% of Players Were Sure About Brian Wilson. They Were Wrong.

2,110 players, 109 perfect rounds, and a wager mix that landed almost exactly even: 50% at 1x, 46% at 3x, with 2x barely registering. Players who went bold came out ahead — 3x accuracy hit 79% against 67% on 1x — but the bold-and-right rate sat at 50%. Right at the line. And Portrait of Brian WilsonBrian Wilson made sure the ledger didn't tip further.

By the Numbers

Total guesses
21,100
Average accuracy
72%
Hardest celebrity
Portrait of Brian WilsonBrian Wilson (10%)
Easiest celebrity
Portrait of Elvis PresleyElvis Presley (99%)
Biggest upset
Portrait of Brian WilsonBrian Wilson
Players this week
2,110
Perfect rounds
109
Wager mix
1× 50% · 2× 4% · 3× 46%

What stood out

The tightest split of the week: Portrait of Frank GehryFrank Gehry at 51% alive / 49% dead on 336 guesses. He's deceased, so the majority went the wrong way by a hair. Right behind him, Portrait of Neil GaimanNeil Gaiman drew 49% alive / 51% dead on 343 guesses. He's alive. Two coin-flips, two wrong-side majorities, back to back.

Portrait of Neil GaimanHow 343 players guessed Neil Gaiman
Alive
49%
Dead
51%

Portrait of Lech WalesaLech Walesa was the cleaner wrong-direction miss mid-board: 83% of players called the 1980s–90s politician deceased. He's alive. 17% accuracy. Portrait of Cicely TysonCicely Tyson and Portrait of Zaha HadidZaha Hadid both landed at 15% accuracy — players called them alive at 85% rates. Both are deceased. Architects and actors from the 1960s–2020s ran cold. So did Portrait of Akira ToriyamaAkira Toriyama, Portrait of Buddy GuyBuddy Guy, and Portrait of Morgan SpurlockMorgan Spurlock, all of whom drew wrong-direction majorities in the 62–78% range.

Bonus exact-year hits: 417. Top score: 3,425.

Portrait of Brian Wilson
musician
Brian Wilson
1960s–1970s · Americandeceased

The Beach Boys mastermind spent years working on 'Smile,' one of music's most famous unreleased albums, before finally completing it decades later to critical acclaim.

90% of the field called Portrait of Brian WilsonBrian Wilson alive. He's deceased. That's 10% accuracy on 343 guesses — the largest sample of the week and the worst result on the board by a significant margin. The wager data compounds it: with nearly half of all bets going 3x, a lot of confident wrong answers absorbed the full penalty here. The next-hardest miss was Portrait of Lech WalesaLech Walesa at 17%, which tells you how far Wilson cleared the floor.

Portrait of Brian WilsonHow 343 players guessed Brian Wilson
Alive
90%
Dead
10%

Honorable mentions

  • Portrait of Lech WalesaLech Walesa at 17% — 83% called the 1980s–90s politician deceased. He's alive. Second-hardest miss, and it wasn't particularly close.
  • Portrait of Frank GehryFrank Gehry at 49% — the closest split of the week, and the majority still landed on the wrong side. He's deceased.
  • Portrait of Elvis PresleyElvis Presley at 99% — 331 guesses, almost no dissent. He's deceased. The board needed something reliable, and Elvis delivered.